The US and the new resolution
1409 on Iraq:
Maintain the Embargo, Lie
to International Opinion, Gain Time for the War
Arab Cause Solidarity Committee, 16 May, 2002.
CSCAweb (www.nodo50.org/csca), 22-05-02
On Tuesday, 14 May, the
Security Council approved a new resolution on the embargo against
Iraq number 1409. Presented by the US as a benefit to
the Iraqi people, the new resolution will in no way bring any
appreciable relief to the country's humanitarian situation, while
it will permit the Bush administration to gain time to prepare
its military intervention against Iraq
On Tuesday, 14 May, the Security Council (SC) of the United
Nations (UN) approved unanimously (with "strong reservations"
on the part of Syria, at present not a permanent member of the
Council) a new resolution on the embargo against Iraq, number
1409 [1], considered by the international organisation
to be "the second major change" in the humanitarian
program known as "oil-for-food" (resolution 986) since
resolution 1284 was approved in September, 1999 [2].
The resolution, negotiated over the course of the past year by
the members of the SC and especially by the US and Russia,
was approved only days before the conclusion of the eleventh
phase of the oil-for-food program, which has been renewed every
six months since its initiation in December, 1996.
A more effective procedure?
The two ex-coordinators of the UN's humanitarian program for
Iraq, Dennis Halliday and Hans von Sponeck who resigned
in 1999 and 2000, respectively, due to their consideration that
the program was ineffective, have already warned against
the fallacy of supposing that present measures will noticeably
improve the country's humanitarian situation [3]. Russia's
own ambassador to the SC, Sergey Lavrov, repeated this again
after the resolution was approved: "Only by the lifting
of sanctions will Iraq be able to rebuild its economy"[4].
Since the oil-for-food program went into effect, Iraq has
been allowed to export petroleum, initially in limited quantities,
at present with no restrictions at all. The money obtained from
the sale of its petroleum is deposited in an account with the
BNP in New York, an account administered exclusively by the Secretary
General of the UN and to which the government of Iraq has absolutely
no access. From this account, the Secretary General makes various
payments the greatest of these being the so-called "war
debt"; formerly 30%, for the last year it has been 25% of
the income deposited , finally leaving less than half of
the funds deposited for the purchase of products.
But not even this percentage can be used entirely for that
purpose. Each contract signed by Iraq with an enterprise from
a third country must be approved by the designated Sanctions
Committee (or 661 Committee), which mirrors the structure of
the SC; that is to say, with its permanent members having the
right to veto. All contracts which the US and Great Britain
consider to include products susceptible to double use (civil
and military) are paralysed. Result: currently, more than 5
billion dollars are blocked, and may not be used for other contracts
or to acquire other products. Kofi Annan has reiterated that
this situation is unacceptable. The consequence is that the
US and Great Britain, despite their brazen affirmation that there
is no longer any restriction on the quantity of petroleum which
Iraq may export, have effectively hindered as Halliday and
Sponeck have denounced the country's socio-economic recovery
and normalisation, by prohibiting the entry of articles which
are key and essential elements to such recovery: those related
to the sectors of telecommunications, electrical power (even
in Baghdad, daily power outages may be of up to two hours, and
of much greater duration outside the capital), water treatment,
agriculture and the petrochemical industry (to the extent that
Iraq is unable to renovate its deteriorated petroleum industry
in order to pump and export more crude oil).
What will the situation be as of now? Firstly, the resolution
approved maintains the designated financial control of Iraq and
the distribution of income from the sale of petroleum; that is,
the first strategic mechanism of what we have denominated the
process of the country's re-colonization. The second
aspect is the question of commercial and technological control,
which the new resolution not only does not alleviate but restricts
even further: under the procedure now approved, a new list of
articles considered to be of double use has been established,
the "Goods Review List" [5], which includes
in its more than 300 pages all of those items which, judged as
susceptible to possible military use, will continue to be outlawed
by the UN. The list continues to broadly include (although not,
as it did before, bicycles, for example) articles and products
which, of simple manufacture or unsophisticated technology, are
crucial to even the minimal socio-economic recovery of the country.
Behind the term "double use", the US seeks to restrict
to the maximum the access to technology and to development
of Iraq or of any other country.
From now on all contracts signed by Iraq for the purchase
of any product must be as before submitted officially
and exhaustively detailed, by mediation of the government of
the company concerned, no longer directly to the Sanctions Committee
as in the past, but to the UN's Office of the Iraq Program (OIP),
which in turn will submit it for evaluation to the UN's special
commission for the disarmament of Iraq (the UNIMOVIC -UN Monitoring
and Verification Commission- successor to the disaccredited UNSCOM)
and to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). UNIMOVIC
and IAEA technicians have 10 days to review the content of the
contract. If the contract in question does not include any article
from the Goods Review List, it will be authorized by the OIP,
but in all cases "subject to [final] approval by the Sanctions
Committee" (paragraph 3 of the procedural amendment). If,
on the other hand, the contract includes any material or article
susceptible to military use, the OIP will be able to directly
refuse its approval or, in a case of doubt, refer it to the Sanctions
Committee, who will be able to approve or reject it definitively.
In the same way, time limits will be established for submitting
appeals to the OIP regarding contracts which have been rejected.
As can be observed, a wide range of articles considered as
having a double use, the complexity of the procedure (even in
the determination of time limits for the approval of contracts)
and, the continued existence of the Sanctions Committee
with its right-of-veto structure as the final decisive
authority, will neither bring about a qualitative increase in
the products which may be imported to Iraq, nor will they facilitate
the procedure for the entry of such products into the country,
as the administrative bottlenecks which have until now affected
even strictly humanitarian goods (food and generic medicines)
approved without reservation will undoubtedly continue to exist
[6].
Maintaining the embargo, deceiving
international opinion
The key for the approval of resolution 1409 has been the final
acceptance by Russia of the Goods Review List. The notable change
of position on the part of Moscow, which a year ago threatened
to use its right of veto for the same purpose [7], is
motivated by the US's promise to give the green light to contracts
signed by Russia and Iraq, which, to the value of 700 million
dollars of a total formerly said to be 5 billion dollars,
the US and Great Britain have blocked in the Sanctions Committee,
for their being considered susceptible to military use by Baghdad.
Iraq's disappointment over this has been great, as commercially
it had favoured Russia in recent years.
The US has presented the resolution's approval as a benefit
to the Iraqi people, who will witness an improvement in their
daily lives, and as an advance toward the greater equalisation
of sanctions against the regime, rather than against the population
of Iraq. However, and predictably, the new resolution will in
no way bring any appreciable relief to the humanitarian situation
of the Iraqi population, and its approval must be understood,
on the contrary, as a success for the Bush administration in
its policy against Iraq after the failures of the previous year:
1. The program of sanctions against
Iraq will be maintained for six more months. The
sanctions continue, while expectations that the embargo would
be lifted recede. By focussing the debate over the new resolution
on very limited details of the humanitarian program "oil-for
food", the Bush administration succeeds in preventing the
SC from undertaking a comprehensive review of the dispute between
the UN and Iraq treating Iraq's remaining obligations,
but equally a reasonable provision for an end to the embargo
, along the line which Iraq and the UN's Secretary General,
Kofi Annan, followed in various discussions during the first
half of this year (to be resumed in June) a route of dialogue
which, besides being supported for the first time in 12 years
by the Arab League, is profoundly irritating to Washington [8].
2. International public opinion
is newly confused about the prediction of an appreciable improvement
in the humanitarian situation in Iraq. The Bush administration
is again trying to silence international criticism about the
serious deterioration in the country's humanitarian situation
as a consequence of the sanctions, at the same time causing the
responsibility for the crisis in which the Iraqi people live
to fall on the regime of Saddam Hussein. As we have seen, the
resolution just approved takes in very limited aspects of the
systems valid up to now for the approval of contracts signed
by Iraq with third countries: nothing more. The central nucleus
of the sanctions economic, commercial and technological
control will persist.
Gaining time for the war
With the approval of this resolution, the US gains time in
its preparations to launch an attack against Iraq. As occurred
in the renewal of the humanitarian programme last November, with
full military intervention under way in Afghanistan, the Bush
administration does not want now, when the regional crisis caused
by the Israeli government's military offensive against the Palestinian
Autonomous Areas of Cisjordan is hardly resolved, to risk provoking
a bitter debate in the heart of the SC by forcing the approval
of other aspects initially included under what were called "smart
sanctions" (measures for controlling counties which border
Iraq, greater financial control of petroleum exports, etc.),
as in the case a year ago when Russia threatened to use its right
to veto [9].
Today, the predominant strategy of the Bush administration
with respect to Iraq is a military attack on the country next
autumn or in the first months of 2003, including a change of
government [10]. While it tries to resolve the Palestinian
crisis with new declarations of support for the creation
of a Palestinian state , conquer the resistance of its traditional
allies in the region particularly Turkey and Saudi Arabia
to a new war, and design, with the Iraqi opposition, a
plan for the invasion and occupation of Iraq, the US has no interest
in seeing itself trapped in debates and commitments within a
body the United Nations or its Security Council to
which it will not recognise sanctioning authority when it finally
decides to initiate its new war in the Middle East. The Bush
administration no longer even considers it relevant except
as an excuse to the halting of its final attack on Iraq
whether or not disarmament inspectors return to the country,
a measure which Baghdad does not oppose so categorically as it
did before, provided that an appropriate procedure is established
for this, within the framework, as mentioned before, of a considered
and comprehensive evaluation of what these 12 years of embargo
have meant [11].
Notes:
1. The text of resolution
1409 may be consulted at: www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2002/SC7395.doc.htm
2. For an evaluation of the "oil-for-food" program
and resolution 1284, see: La
situación humanitaria en Iraq, el programa humanitario
'Petróleo por Alimentos' y los derechos humanos
3. As indicated in their manifesto promoted and published recently
in the International Herald Tribune (Hundreds of personalities
and organisations from all over the world sign a document demanding
the end of the embargo against Iraq and rejecting the threat
of war: No
more economic sanctions. The iraqi people have suffered enough!)
4. The New York Time News
Service, May 15, 2002.
5. Document S/2002/515. The
approval of this new List was contemplated en paragraph 2 of
resolution 1382 this past November, approved upon the termination
of the previous phase of the humanitarian program.
6. Sarah Graham-Brown: "Sanctions
Renewed in Iraq", MERIP Press Information Note no.
96, 14 May, 2002.
7. See: Grave revés para la estrategia
de EEUU de imponer en el Consejo de Seguridad una nueva resolución
de endurecimiento de las sanciones contra Iraq
8. See: Hans von Sponeck: "Iraq: una
solución política"
9. See: Gran Bretaña y EEUU presentan
al Consejo de Seguridad el borrador de una nueva resolución
sobre el embargo a Iraq
and Grave
revés para la estrategia de EEUU de imponer en el Consejo
de Seguridad una nueva resolución de endurecimiento de
las sanciones contra Iraq
10. See: El Pentágono estudia atacar
Iraq en noviembre o diciembre próximos
11. As expressed by Mr Tariq
Aziz before the delegates of the Baghdad Conference in May, 2002.
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